Fargo Rating and Match Calculations

 

Many players have brought up the question about how the fargo rating system works in regards to match ups. Here is the analysis we have conducted based on research compiled by different individuals. Hope this information helps.

 

The Math Behind Fargo Ratings and Handicaps:

For this example, we will say there are 2 teams with the following Fargo’s:

Team ATeam B

451352

449598

504601

598487

601499

 

Player Expectation

The formula to calculate plater expectation is

= 2 ^ (Player Fargo/100)

This would need to be calculated for both players for the full roster.

 

With these expectations, the next thing is to calculate probability of the outcome of the game. TA is Team A Expectation, TB is Team B Expectation. The formula for this would be:

= ( TA / ( TA + TB))

 

Winning Probability

Once this is calculated, one can find the probability of winning the same for team A. Probability for Team B would be = 1 – TA (Probability).

 

Once this is calculated, you can multiply the win probability by number of points / game (10) to get the expected number of points each player could get if they lose the game. The total point’s for each team is used and then the difference between them is what the handicap average turns out to be. This would change per round because of the probabilities for each player winning being different each game. The Houston Lonestar BCA league uses the team average system which would help keep it consistent.

 

 

As you can see from this grid below, the difference between the average system and the per round system would not create a major difference in this situation. In varying Fargo rates, this would be a bigger fluctuation.

Note: The totals row has the sum of all points/Game.

In the Average Row, the points/game is the points/game of the average Fargo’s multiplied by 5 (games per round).

For any further explanation or questions, please reach out.